AFL Metric Sims Week 9

By: Toph Kopchak Director of AFL Coverage

Valor -5 68.1%

We have an early start to this week as the DMV gets us started off with Baltimore at Washington. The Valor need home field to gain the edge in the Vegas Power Rankings. Washington lost a 27 point lead and the game last week to Albany, (3rd greatest comeback in AFL history) but the Valor do come into tonight with the #2 Metric Offense, a short week and with Baltimore having the best Metric Defense and fighting for playoff position, it all sets this one up nicely.

Empire -12.5 88.7%

When you look up a what a Vegas spread of 13.5 usually means it equals a 90.0% chance for the favorite to win. Albany overcame a massive hill as pointed out earlier, but if there is one team that truly has the offense to overcome anything close to that again the Empire are the first to come to mind. AC is fighting to get back into the hunt but, a lot of points experts don’t see it happening this week. Our system comes out a little nicer, but still suggests this won’t be tight.

Soul -1 52.5%

The Soul are currently in 3rd position for the playoffs and have a lot to play for and are getting healthy. The Soul have snapped the ball 297 times good for second most in the league, that’s 30 more than Columbus who has had trouble doing just that. With Philly having something to play for, it just feels like the Soul have enough to win on the road.

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